Monday, July 22, 2019

JOHN CHUCKMAN COMMENT: A FEW MORE THOUGHTS ON CLIMATE CHANGE - YES, CHANGE IS AN ESTABLISHED CERTAINTY - AND, NO, THE CAUSE IS NOT - YOU DON'T LEAP INTO "SOLUTIONS" WITHOUT UNDERSTANDING THE CAUSE - ESPECIALLY WHERE COSTS IN THE TRILLIONS ARE AT STAKE AND THE PRECIOUS RESOURCES MAY BE NEEDED FOR ADAPTING OVER TIME

John Chuckman


COMMENT POSTED TO AN ARTICLE BY KEVIN ZEESE AND MARGARET FLOWERS IN CONSORTIUM NEWS



“As Costs of Climate Crisis Grow, Protest Movement Escalates

“Long term campaigns to decarbonize the economy and demand emergency climate policies are getting stronger”



Yes, climate change is happening, but can we do anything about it (other than adapt) and are our actions causing it?

I 've never been convinced on those last two ideas.

And a new serious study tends to agree, finding virtually no role for humans.

https://sputniknews.com/environment/201907111076211867-study-sees-no-solid-evidence-for-man-made-climate-change/

It isn't the first time something has pointed this way either.

I know we face problems with the very real threats of climate change, but I do think overturning our entire lives and societies and spending trillions of dollars in a desperate effort to "do something" is pretty damned foolish.

Particularly when you consider that the other, more certain, and perhaps more realistic option, that of adapting over time to changes, is also going to be very costly.

I regard the loud and incessant calls for immediate and massive changes to our economies and societies as a form of religious enthusiasm and not sound responses to science.

And it is so easy, when you do not really understand and still rush ahead, to do the wrong thing.

For example, several serious studies have pointed to electric-powered vehicles being more detrimental than petroleum-powered ones when their entire life cycle and the production of raw materials are accounted for.

And that, as any genuine expert will tell you, is the only way to make valid comparisons. With full cycle costs and costs of producing inputs as well as of disposing of trash at the end.

How have past societies dealt with the many, many instances of climate change earth has experienced? My God, it was only about ten thousand years ago that the Great Lakes, containing one-fifth of the planet’s entire fresh water supply, even were created by the receding of massive Ice Age glaciers taller than any skyscrapers.

And Tacitus, roughly two thousand years ago, wrote of North Africa as "the granary of Rome."

Look at the drifting sands that cover all the land around ancient Egypt's great monuments to its ancient civilization. Once those were lush places. The wealth from organized early agriculture on them is what made Egypt into an impressive society.

And we've found the fossils of some dinosaurs who once roamed Antarctica.

The semi-desert Canadian Province of Alberta was a large inland sea tens of millions of years ago with large sea creatures swimming in it.

Nothing ever stays the same in our universe. There really is no such thing as keeping some landscape or environment or species as though it were a display in a huge museum dedicated of some arbitrarily selected period of time in history.